Additionally, players accrued an extra week of fantasy points in 2021 with the 17th game added to the schedule. Atlanta has to find ways to get the ball in Pitts hands not just deep down field, but near the line of scrimmage. Award-winning DFS writer Jake Tribbey breaks down the best plays and picks for the Week 10 DraftKings daily fantasy XFL slate. Tight end strategy seems very flexible once again. #football #fantasyfootball #nflmemes #memes #football, #fantasyfootball #nfl #gambling #nflbetting #propbets, Cleveland Browns with Nathan Zegura | 2023 Franchise Focus Podcast, Cincinnati Bengals with Jake Liscow | 2023 Franchise Focus Podcast, Fantasy Points Podcast EP 2: Indianapolis Colts RB Zack Moss, Ranking the top 10 NFL Tight End Units | Take Talk Podcast, Baltimore Ravens with Kevin Oestreicher | 2023 Franchise Focus Podcast. How you approach the first seven rounds will really drive how you should attack the late rounds. Dead last! Cade Otton (TB, 215) I thought he was pretty darn solid last year, and hes still growing into his role, so I could see him emerging as the third option in the passing game here (not including the RBs). Underdog Fantasy is the leader in the new booming Best Ball industry within the Fantasy Sports world. Graham Barfield uses years of data to attempt to find the optimal way to draft tight ends in 2023 Underdog Fantasy best ball contests. Ideally, you will be starting two QBs each week, as they are the highest-scoring players in fantasy football. First-time users looking to get into Underdog's industry-favorite best ball fantasy drafts can get their initial deposit (minimum $10 deposit) matched up to $100 simply by using promo code FANTASYPTS. Bobby Witt Jr. 7.5 Fantasy Points (LOWER) . He also cashed in three more TDs in this stretch, giving him 7 on the season. It is important to note that last season, Round 1 through 3 WRs included Cooper Kupp and JaMarr Chase, who both missed significant time, so that could be skewing these numbers a bit. Considering Christian Watson is still raw and Romeo Doubs isnt a speed guy, I wouldnt be shocked if Reed ended up leading Green Bay in receiving. I dont know if we see such a difference in WR and RB performance from this range in 2023, but it does seem like a good idea to target RB or WR positions in this range over QBs and TEs the key is not to draft way more WRs than RBs on your team as a whole, as has been established. Sign up with code FTN at Underdog to get a deposit match of up to $100! As usual, this position is volatile, so its tough to deal with. Simply put, this isn't your father's fantasy football. New York Jets betting preview: Tom Brolley analyzes 2023 futures, win totals, Super Bowl odds, player props, and early best wagers. Goedert is a key part of this offense who thrives against man coverage-heavy schemes like the Giants because it will leave the middle of the field open for him to work against the undersized Giants defense. You can also pass on an elite TE and grab three late and hope you nail a high-ceiling outcome like Evan Engram was last year. In addition to this frequently updated article, our staff will also constantly update the individual and consensus Best Ball rankings. Hes a viable RB3 who is available 20-30 picks after those types are usually drafted, so hes on my list. Miles Sanders is clearly a free agent winner and a strong fit in HC Frank Reichs outside-zone scheme. The best place to get ready for fantasy drafts. Take a look at who he's targeting and fading early as he prepares for the 2023 best ball season. Super Bowl: +900 in mid-February to +1000. Darren Waller is similar to Pitts in terms of usage Wallers aDOT last year was 13.6 yards but the difference is that Waller actually saw adequate QB play (81.4% of targets were catchable). Per Fantasy Points Data, after a slow start upon return Weeks 3-7 with just 3.5 YPC, 2.4 yards after contact per carry, and just 0.17 forced MTs per carry, Dobbins numbers soared to 7.0 YPC, 4.23 YAC per carry, and 0.21 FMTs per carry. Tom Brolley's favorite futures bets for the 2023 season. We are here to help you #ScoreMore Fantasy Points! Injuries have been a major problem, but hes still just 25 as of May and hes coming off his healthiest season. Williams led the league with 17 of them behind a great OL, which bodes extremely well for Montgomery because he led the league last year in missed tackles forced per attempt at .31 (among 42 RBs with at least 100 carries, per FP Data). Every season can be different, and an injury to any player can greatly skew results. Otherwise, the rest of the group consists of what I view as choice handcuffs, including Chase Brown (Cin, 165.8), Tyjae Spears (Ten, 184), Chuba Hubbard (Car, 189.5), Jerome Ford (Cle, 206.5), and Eric Gray (NYG, 215.3). You can make two picks that pay out 3x even money or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts. Chris Olave (NO, 22) He fits the profile of a high-pedigree guy who proved he can excel in the NFL, and his best football is still in front of him. In the Superflex format, that doesnt hold up as an optimal strategy due to the starting roster requirements. From that point, I just went week-by-week to figure out the weekly scores for each team based on their roster of players to find out their regular-season total score. First-time users at Underdog Fantasy using code FANTASYPTS get: A Deposit Match up to $100 at Underdog to use on drafts, Pick 'Em contests, and more Projected Fantasy Contributors. ), Chris graduated as an engineer from the University of Delaware, and since graduating he was always interested in combining his programming and coding skills along with his love of football to find a career in sports, 2023 Franchise Focus: Pittsburgh Steelers, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bengals, 2023 Underdog Best Ball Roster Construction: RBs, DraftKings 2023 USFL Semifinal DFS Tournament Plays, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens, 2023 NFL Combine Recap: Questions Answered, NFL Combine Preview: Major Fantasy Questions. But looking under the hood, Pitts underlying usage was way better than you remember last season. I wrote more about his fantasy football outlook in Carolina here hes going to be a main RB2 target of mine in every draft at his ADP 60.2 overall). Jerry Jeudy (Den, 47.1) I somehow found the courage to leave Jeudy off my target list last year, which was an accomplishment for me as a Jeudy stan, but now Im all in with Sean Payton in town and solid chemistry built last year with Russell Wilson. These top-240 best ball rankings are geared towards Underdog Fantasy's 0.5 PPR (half-point per reception) leagues. The picks mix . Hes not a gifted thrower, so his TD rate could drop 50% this year, yet hed still be a viable pick this late. There is a major difference in the roster requirements for this tournament compared to non-Superflex tournaments in best ball. Jan 27, 2022 NFL News & Notes Conference Championship NFL News, Injuries, and Lineup Notes for Conference Championship. That said, I do think you want one of your first three picks to be a WR, given that having an early-round WR on your team led to the second-highest top 10% team final score averages. Giant Killer Boston Scott will certainly be involved as well as Kenneth Gainwell, but Sanders will get the bulk of the carries. This means that instead of having to play three WRs, you can play an additional QB, but also another RB or TE as well. Im targeting two TEs with 100+ ADPs that I think have nice breakout potential, and they are: David Njoku (Cle, 103.1) Even though it seems like hes been in the league for a decade, I still dont think weve seen Njokus career year, but hes peaking now and proving the Browns right for paying him so well. . Scott Barrett's Underdog Fantasy Draft Guide & Primer Scott Barrett Follow June 13, 2022 6:30pm EDT In last year's Best Ball Primer & Strategy Guide I wrote 7,000 words explaining the best ball format and how to optimally game it so that it was nearly impossible for you not to profit. In order to access our other articles and content, including livestreams, projections and rankings, stat analysis and more, be sure to sign up today. My source told me that Kmet was going to be a major red zone force, and he went from scoring 2 and 0 TDs his first two seasons to seven scores in 2022. Jalen Hurts has redefined the game and arguably has the highest ceiling among the Big 3. Nick Chubb just finished as the RB5 in fantasy points per game (15.8) tied with Saquon Barkley. Underdog Fantasy: Daily and Season-Long Fantasy Contests We'll match your first deposit up to $100! If you draft Travis Kelce, you likely dont need three TEs, and may be able to get away with only drafting one. Recapping every team, division by division, from expectations and results, to a look at 2023. If you know, you know #fantasyfootball #nfl #meme #nflmemes #footballmemes, Gurus got you covered! Enjoy all the alerts for injuries and lineup confirmations. Get 5 picks right, 20X your money. Underdog is the most popular best ball platform for fantasy football, featuring contests at any buy-in level with huge prizes for the winners. The Giants are one of the friendliest teams to opposing running backs, giving up the 4th-most rushing yards per game to backs at nearly 120 yards per game. Samaje Perine (Den, 115.8) Perine is going to need some volume for the Denver Broncos if hes to come through, since his 1.1% explosive play rate ranked dead last among 55 backs with at least 75 carries, per FP Data. 18 hours ago. Cincinnati Bengals betting preview: Tom Brolley analyzes 2023 futures, win totals, Super Bowl odds, player props, and early best wagers. But there are more QBs than usual commanding an extravagant cost this year, and I might be out on all of them. Rounds 4-9 is where its at, and I have isolated ten excellent options in this range as of Mid-May. 2023 Franchise Focus: Pittsburgh Steelers, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bengals, 2023 Underdog Best Ball Roster Construction: RBs, DraftKings 2023 USFL Semifinal DFS Tournament Plays, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens, The Guru's Top 10 Underdog Fantasy ADP Values, Hansen's Free Agency Fantasy Market Report. 0:00 C Miami Dolphins betting preview: Tom Brolley analyzes 2023 futures, win totals, Super Bowl odds, player props, and early best wagers. We really see this as The Sweet Spot for drafting running backs (the Superflex format pushes The Dead Zone further back). Patrick Mahomes - Chiefs @ LAC (28.25, -6.5) In 2015 he sold Fantasy Guru and in 2020 founded FantasyPoints.com. The pickings are slim otherwise, with several low-end options guaranteed nothing in terms of playing time, but Desmond Ridder (Atl, 201 ADP) and Baker Mayfield (TB, 212 ADP) should have to trip badly to lose their starting gigs. If you wait to grab your first or second QB until the fourth round this year, that would put you with a QB like Russell Wilson, Derek Carr, or Kyler Murray as your first or second QB. Roster Points between seasons. I had him as the preseason WR20. Ive also been wary of running QBs going off the board before some excellent RB/WR options, so I did not promote Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray at all. Brief commentary on recent injuries across The problem isnt just that Atlanta was last in pass rate. Only five WRs saw at least 153 targets last year, so Diontae is still a major go-to guy. Avoiding tight ends in this range makes sense based on how the second tier of elite TEs like George Kittle, Kyle Pitts, and Darren Waller performed last year. I dont know if we will ever see a high-level QB go at the back of drafts again. Tom Brolley examines the first wave of 2023 receiving yard props, with some early best bets and leans. The OL might actually be a strength now for the Steelers, and Harris, with 32 games played and the most RB touches in the league the last two seasons, is a steal even in the third round. Rashid Shaheed (NO, 160.5) Insanely good showing last year, and his 2.79 YPRR was third highest in the league behind only Tyreek Hill and AJ Brown, per Fantasy Points Data. It includes top-200 overall rankings, positional rankings, must-draft players, players to avoid, ideal drafts, best ball tips, and more. Expected total points for your roster drop if your picks approach or exceed 10 spots ahead of ADP. Antonio Gibson (WAS) Over 91.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards Stats and trends, and overall previews for each game in the Wild Card Round. Only Tyreek Hill and AJ Brown had a higher YPRR in the entire NFL among players with at least 150 routes, per FP Data, and they really need contributions from him this year. Reaching after losing a player adds risk to your team. Underdog's ADP uses a two-day rolling average of drafts and includes all BBM 4 plus sit-and-go drafts for the Best Ball 2023 slate. Cam Akers (LAR, 74.7) The OL came together and he was a different player down the stretch, and the numbers bear that out. Dont draft so many WRs. The scoring system makes a difference. Is that good? So what I have below is not only what I think is an optimal plan of action, but also what I feel are optimal picks based on ADP, upside, and downside. The Baltimore Ravens took care of Lamar Jackson, they now have some semblance of depth at receiver, and they failed to add anyone of note to the backfield. I thought he was too pricey to list last year, so I didnt target him, but Ill gladly take a small profit from this guys dip: Last year, in addition to leaving Andrews off my list due to his high cost, I also refrained from including a player who, now a year later, might actually be my top target at the position. Kadarius Toney (NYG, 73.6) I love Skyy Moore, but I was also a Toney fan coming out and I drafted him over Amon-Ra St. Brown in our staff dynasty rookie draft back in 2021 (whoops). Tom Brolley analyzes 2023 futures, win totals, Super Bowl odds, player props, and early best wagers for the Buffalo Bills. (Olave posted 72/1042/4 in 2022; Im projecting 69/945/4 for Addison). In order to access our other articles and content, including livestreams, projections and rankings, stat analysis and more, be sure to sign up today. John Metchie (Hou, 190.3) I love Metchie as a player, and he was one of my favorite Combine interviews of all time, so Im glad hes back. New signups to Underdog get both a deposit match of up to $100 and a Fantasy Points Standard subscription for just $5! All Season DFS Betting Series 2023 Underdog Best Ball Roster Construction: RBs June 25, 2023 3:06pm EDT season Graham Barfield uses years of Underdog Fantasy data to determine the ideal strategy for selecting running backs in 2023 best ball drafts. My last group of TE targets are ideally TE3s, but these guys have the potential to finish as top-24 producers: Sam LaPorta (Det, 174.5) Im usually not giving love to rookie TEs, but his combination of affordability, opportunity, and talent is pretty appealing in Detroit. Underdog Pick'ems allow fantasy managers to predict stat lines and fantasy-point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. I highly encourage you to read my series on positional strategy first before digging into the rankings. We hope you enjoy this FREE article preview! Tyler Conklin (NYJ, 200.5) I actually liked Conklin last year, and we ranked him as the TE25 in the preseason despite his TE45 ADP and the dude was the TE16 with 53/552/3 on 83 targets. 2s or worse, but I still like these guys to go down as nice values this far down the board in Rounds 10-12: Elijah Moore (106, Cle) Im on him every year, and I dont have any plans to bail now that hes teamed with Deshaun Watson. I like this list so much that Im even willing to go Zero RB through the first three rounds, which Ive never done in my life. $3 million to first place. The Fantasy Points staff previews all 32 teams from every fantasy angle possible, with key stats, player breakdowns, and John Hansen's tips. Its the perfect time to stay all the way back in his contract year because Sean McVay is likely to lean on him heavily. These top-240 best ball rankings are geared towards Underdog Fantasys 0.5 PPR (half-point per reception) leagues. Round 8 and beyond will provide a lot of flexibility for how you fill out your team. Josh Allen has finished as the QB1 in fantasy points per game in back-to-back seasons. Read more. Now that Ive mapped out my specific plans of action for all the positions and have named all the players Im targeting at these positions, lets see the plan in action for 10 rounds using Underdog ADP from 5/15/23: Starting a draft at the top of Round 1 is a little tough, Im still in very good shape at RB/WR despite using an early pick on a TE. Davante Adams still has a top-5 ceiling at wide receiver, but his floor is lower than ever as he enters his age-31 season. Moving down the board around 100+ picks into a draft, my specific WR needs depend on my corps of receivers already drafted, but Im usually looking for upside. Pitts is being drafted in a range where the wide receiver pool really dries up making his ceiling even more tempting if Desmond Ridder can take a second-year leap surrounded by all of the Falcons exciting young weapons. It might be a little light at WR, but sometimes you cant have everything. But 10-12 picks later, if hes available, Ill strongly consider a player who stands out to me as a no-brainer, just like Burrow last year, as the QB7/8 off the board: Next up, we have a guy who I isolated in January as my top QB target. We hope you enjoy this FREE article preview! Underdog Fantasy is the best place to play fantasy sports in-season, and you can use the promo code FANTASYPTS to get a FREE 100% match on your first deposit, up to $100! His floor is as high as it gets among WRs hes seen 8+ targets a ridiculous 20 times (!!) Jan 28, 2022 NFL Playoffs Best Ball Advance Rates Underdog Fantasy's rostered rates for teams still remaining. 2023 Franchise Focus: Pittsburgh Steelers, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bengals, 2023 Underdog Best Ball Roster Construction: RBs, DraftKings 2023 USFL Semifinal DFS Tournament Plays, 2023 NFL Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens, Construction & Optimal Early Round Drafting, 2023 Underdog Best Ball Roster Construction: TEs, 2023 Underdog Roster Construction and Stacks: QBs, Dalvin Cook Cut: What it Means for Alexander Mattison. Award-winning DFS writer Jake Tribbey breaks down the best plays and picks for the 2023 Week 3 DraftKings daily fantasy USFL slate. Find out how you can get a FREE 4for4 subscription! Treylon Burks (Ten, 77.2) I wasnt in on him at all last year, and Im still not convinced hes good, but he is physically talented, and Im projecting a 20+ percent target share on the receiver-poor Tennessee Titans, who should see competent QB play all season. He might be lucky to catch 10 balls here, but Penny does have potential as a checkdown option in the passing game. It was a fair deal! Doing an Anchor RB strategy taking one higher-level RB and then six late round RBs seems very viable here. Were now in the 5th-8th round portion of a draft, so Ill be targeting some RBs around this time, especially since I do not like many of the WR picks in this range using Underdog ADP from mid-May. the league, including return-to-play timeline, historical factors and more. the players here. My TE plan is flexible this year, with Travis Kelce deserving of an extremely high pick, despite his advancing age. You can make a case for any of the running backs in this range to not just have usable weeks, but far exceed their ADP. They allow just . Each week, I'll go through some of my favorite Underdog Fantasy props so we can make a parlay (or multiple) based on those picks! The main reason is easy to justify. Fantasy Points has yet again partnered with our friends at Underdog Fantasy for the 2023 NFL season. We can clearly see that having a similar number of RBs and WRs should be your goal when drafting Superflex teams on Underdog. Brown are both gone. You dont need me to tell you to draft JaMarr Chase or Davante Adams, but I do particularly like these three high-end options in the second round, so Ill list them.
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